PIF breaks into world's top five as Gulf aluminium fights back

3 July 2026·4 min read
Key takeaways
  • PIF's assets hit $1.15 trillion, making it the world's fifth-largest sovereign wealth fund after a 19% surge in 2024
  • EGA has restarted 89 of 1,262 damaged production cells at Al Taweelah, ahead of the 12-month timeline set in April
  • Wood Mackenzie warns the conflict could still remove 3 to 3.5 million tonnes of global aluminium supply in 2026

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

PIF crosses $1.15 trillion, now fifth in the world

Saudi Arabia's , the state vehicle that channels oil wealth into global assets, crossed $1.15 trillion in assets under management and has claimed the rank of fifth-largest on the planet, second among Arab funds behind the UAE's . Al Arabiya first reported the milestone, drawing on data from Argaam, the Arabic-language financial data platform. The climb is directly traceable to a single year of exceptional growth: PIF's own 2024 annual press release, published in 2025, confirmed that assets grew 19% over the year to approximately $925 billion at end-2024, the fastest single-year expansion among the top-five global funds. That base was the launchpad for the subsequent crossing of $1.15 trillion.

The growth was not funded purely from oil revenues. PIF raised $9.83 billion in public debt, meaning bonds sold on markets, and a further $7 billion in private debt in 2024 alone, deliberately diversifying its funding so it is not solely dependent on government transfers from oil receipts. That is a meaningful choice: a sovereign fund that borrows commercially operates more like a global investment firm than a traditional government savings pot. It brings both greater firepower and real borrowing costs.

At $1.15 trillion, PIF now sits alongside Norway's Government Pension Fund Global and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority in a tier where a single allocation decision can shift a sector's valuation. For Saudi Arabia's programme, which uses PIF as its primary engine for building non-oil industries at home, the fund's scale means more domestic capital to deploy and more credibility to attract foreign partners. Saudi Arabia attracted 20 billion riyals in private foreign investment in 2025, a figure reported by the Saudi Venture Capital company and first published in Arabic by Al Arabiya, suggesting the fund's gravitational pull is beginning to show up in inbound flows. That is the clearest evidence so far that scale is converting into commercial attraction rather than remaining a balance-sheet statistic.

The signal to watch is whether PIF's next annual disclosure shows assets consolidating above $1.1 trillion or whether moves in global equity markets, where the fund holds large positions, trim the figure back below the threshold that earned this ranking.

Why this matters

Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund is now one of the five largest in the world, which means its investment decisions carry global weight. For anyone with savings or investments linked to Saudi Arabia, this signals the government has more firepower to build non-oil industries at home — broadly positive for the long-term diversification of the Saudi economy, though the fund's heavy borrowing means it also carries real financial obligations.

Evidence

3 sources reviewed· Verified 36d ago· As of 38d ago

Abu Dhabi, UAE

EGA's missile-hit smelter recovering faster than feared

Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA), co-owned by Abu Dhabi's and the Investment Corporation of Dubai, has announced that repairs to its Al Taweelah smelter are progressing ahead of schedule following the Iranian missile and drone strikes that forced an emergency shutdown on March 28, 2026. The facility, one of the world's largest aluminium smelters, sustained significant damage when attacks hit the Khalifa Economic Zone in Abu Dhabi.

Producing aluminium in a smelter like Al Taweelah requires running thousands of electrolytic reduction cells, each of which melts alumina ore into liquid metal using enormous amounts of electricity. All 1,262 of those cells were knocked offline by the attack. As of this week, 89 have been restarted, with the first coming back online on May 26. The pace matters because EGA's April assessment had warned full restoration could take at least 12 months. The ahead-of-schedule progress suggests that timeline may shorten, though CEO Abdulnasser Bin Kalban said full pre-attack production levels could still take up to a year to recover. The cost of the repair was not disclosed.

The wider picture is severe. Wood Mackenzie estimated the conflict could remove 3 to 3.5 million tonnes of global aluminium output in 2026. That threat drove the London Metal Exchange's three-month aluminium price to $3,547.50 per tonne in the days after the March 28 attack, a four-year high. Al Taweelah alone produced 1.6 million tonnes of cast metal in 2025. Bahrain's Alba smelter, struck on the same day, declared force majeure, a contract clause that suspends obligations when circumstances beyond a party's control make fulfilment impossible, and has not signalled a comparable recovery pace. For capital markets, that asymmetry matters: EGA's faster restart reduces the total tonnage lost but leaves Alba's output gap unresolved, keeping the supply picture tighter than the headline recovery narrative implies.

EGA's Jebel Ali site has continued production at full capacity throughout, with logistics rerouted to avoid the Strait of Hormuz. Alumina production at the Al Taweelah refinery is expected to resume early in the third quarter. As restart cells accumulate through that quarter, the London Metal Exchange aluminium price should retreat materially from its post-attack highs. If it does not, the market will be signalling that Alba's unresolved output gap and broader Hormuz-related logistics costs are larger than EGA's recovery alone can offset.

Why this matters

The faster-than-expected repair at one of the world's largest aluminium plants is broadly positive for the UAE's industrial output and for global aluminium supply. It reduces, but does not eliminate, the risk of sustained high aluminium prices that were pushing up costs for manufacturers globally. For those with investments linked to Gulf industrial companies or aluminium markets, this is cautiously good news, though full production is still up to a year away.

Evidence

2 sources reviewed· Verified 36d ago· As of 37d ago
Also Watching
  • Saudi Arabia — The kingdom's market regulator is seeking proposals to launch a domestic commodities exchange, a trading venue for raw materials like metals and grains — could deepen Saudi capital markets and support the fast-growing mining sector
  • Egypt — Egypt's external debt payments, meaning money owed to foreign lenders, fell 13.6% in 2025 to $33.4 billion, reducing pressure on the country's finances at a time when Gulf sovereign funds hold significant Egyptian assets
  • Qatar/Algeria — Qatar and Algeria have agreed to expand a joint steel plant and pursue one of the world's largest farm projects together — a Gulf sovereign capital thread into North African food and metals production
Get this every weekday morning

One free briefing, straight to your inbox — plain language, Arabic sources included.